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数百万包装印刷大军何处安身?

从造纸业的源头来看,未来纸业涨势仍将猛烈。短短半月之内,动力煤猛涨到1000。国废涨到1500,而且还是废了几废的纸。汇率依然跌跌不休,未来完全看不到底部在哪里,进口废纸成为亏损的生意。

from the point of view of the paper industry, the future of the paper industry will continue to be fierce. In less than half a month, steam coal soared to 1000. The country wasted up to 1500, and it still wasted several useless paper. The exchange rate is still falling endlessly, and the future is totally out of the question. Where are the imports? Waste paper is a losing business.

济南印刷包装http://www.sdyszb.com近半个月以来,包装纸的疯狂上涨让包装印刷行业人士开始怀疑人生!在一千多年后的今天,神州大地再次出现了“洛阳纸贵”的奇葩景观。一纸难求、排队买不到纸的现象导致大量工厂被迫停产。

For nearly half a month, the crazy rise in wrapping paper has made packaging printing industry wonder! One thousand years later, China appeared again "good writings make people copy them. the wonderful landscape. A piece of paper is hard to find and can not stand in line to buy paper, causing a large number of factories to be forced to stop production.

近日,由上游原材料上涨和汇率不稳引发的包装原纸涨价潮持续发酵,冀鲁豫、长三角、珠三角原纸供应十分紧张,拿着现金买不到纸的情况并没有缓解。

Recently, the upstream raw material prices and exchange rate instability caused by the packaging paper prices surge, Hebei continuous fermentation, Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta paper supply is very tight, with the cash to buy paper and no relief.

瓦楞纸板现新一波停单潮与涨价潮

Corrugated cardboard is a new wave of stop tide and price rise

济南印刷今天,珠三角三级纸箱厂纷纷接到通知,多家纸板厂宣布17号停产,部分纸板厂要提前付款,否则停止接单。在深圳和东莞,以前付款有拖延的三级厂现金也买不到纸板,因为纸板厂自称已经“爆单”了。

Today, the Pearl River Delta three carton factory has received notice, a number of cardboard factory announced No. 17 stop production, part of the cardboard factory to pay in advance, or else to stop orders. In Shenzhen and Dongguan, there were three factories that had delayed payment and could not buy the cardboard because the cardboard factory claimed to have "exploded".

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原纸价格沸腾不止,汇率很致命

Paper prices are boiling, exchange rates are deadly

近半个月,用一片沸腾来形容上游的造纸行业并不为过。从纸厂库存被抢购一空,到纸价一天一价,直至提着现金也买不到纸,相信所有人都没有想象到如此噩梦般的场面。

The last half month, with a slice of boiling to describe the upstream paper industry is not excessive. From the paper factory stock was sold out to the paper price a day a price, until the cash can not buy paper, I believe that all people did not imagine such a nightmare scene.

双十一过后,纸价却丝毫未见冷冻,涨价的需求拉动因素基本可以排除。相反,终端商品不涨反跌,可见市场需求非常低迷。因此,我们不得不把涨价归因于过去八年内超发的天量货币,因为这才是导致外汇贬值和原材料上涨的罪魁祸首。

After double eleven, the price of paper has not seen the slightest freeze, the price demand pull factors can be ruled out. On the contrary, the end goods do not rise or fall, so that the market demand is very low. Therefore, we have to rise due to the past eight years over the amount of money, because this is the result of foreign exchange devaluation and rising raw materials arch-criminal.

特别值得指出的一点是,中国造纸材料严重依赖进口,汇率走势或左右未来包装纸价格的涨跌情况。但实际上,如果按照真实购买力来算,当前1:6.9的人民币兑美元汇率仍然被严重高估。

It is particularly worth noting that China's paper materials are heavily dependent on imports, the exchange rate trends, or about the ups and downs of future packaging paper prices. But in reality, the current 1:6.9's exchange rate against the US dollar is still seriously overvalued if true purchasing power is taken into account.

大洗牌来临,数百万就业人口如何安身?

The reshuffle comes, millions of employment population how to live?

可以肯定的是,未来纸价虽然有波动,但涨是长期的。这就意味着,大量的包装印刷企业将经历惨烈的洗牌,承载着数百万就业人口的包装印刷业将会有大量员工被抛入失业大军,重新面临生存的危机。

To be sure, the price of paper will fluctuate in the future, but it will last for a long time. This means that a large number of packaging printing enterprises will undergo a brutal reshuffle, carrying millions of jobs in the packaging industry, printing industry will have a large number of employees are thrown into the unemployment force, and re face the crisis of survival.

那么,未来哪些类型的企业将会成为我们赖以生存的堡垒呢?

Then, what types of enterprises will become the bastion of our survival in the future?

在包小编看来,只有那些平时苦练内功、与消费者的黏性非常强的企业,才能在产能过剩的时期将成本压力转嫁给下游客户,终剩者为王。换句话说,只有那些现金流充足、管理优良的包装印刷企业,才是自己的铁饭碗。

Small packages in the package seems, only those who usually work hard, and consumer stickiness is very strong enterprises in order to pass the cost pressure on the downstream customers in the period of excess capacity, and ultimately the remaining king. In other words, only those with adequate cash flow and good management of packaging and printing enterprises, is their iron rice bowl.

在这些企业就业,就不要提什么工资待遇要求(因为好企业一样有困难),努力工作,练好技术,坚持到寒冬过去。永远要记得,危机就是机会!对老板、员工都是如此。寒冬过去后,你就会看到病树前头万木春的美景。

In these enterprises employment, do not mention what salary requirements (because good enterprises have difficulties), work hard, and practice skills, persist in the cold winter in the past. Always remember that a crisis is an opportunity! That's true with both the boss and the employees. Winter in the past, you will see the million tree head of the spring scenery.

今天的情形仅仅是开始的阶段,冬天还很漫长,做好打持久战的准备。寒冬迫人,大家请多保重!

Today's situation is only the beginning of the stage, the winter is still long, ready to fight protracted war. Winter drives people, please take care!


 
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